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current polls

08/08/25 UK Projection: Reform and Independents Crawl Forward

08 Aug 2025 • Not much has changed in polling this past week, but Reform and independents are set to make modest gains and Labour's performance is set to be worse than the Tories in the last election.

The Tories Need to Deradicalize

07 Aug 2025 • The Conservatives are in an existential crisis and embracing Reform's rhetoric is so far getting them nowhere. What should they do?

Will Plaid Win Cymru?

05 Aug 2025 • With all the talk of Reform potentially becoming the largest party in Wales, it's worth recognising the growth of the party chasing Labour's heels for the left-of-centre vote.

The SNP's Unremarkable Comeback

04 Aug 2025 • The SNP were decimated to 9 seats in 2024, but now most forecasters are projecting that a general election today would yield upwards of 40 seats for them. What happened?

29/07/25 UK Projection: Reform Headed for an Outright Majority

29 Jul 2025 • Update on &Elections' live general election projection. Reform are headed for an outright majority for the first time as Labour and the Tories collapse further.

22/07/25 UK Projection: Independents Bouncing Back Better

22 Jul 2025 • Update on &Elections' live general election projection. Lib Dems & independents are up slightly; Tories are down to fifth again.

A New Left Party: Could It Succeed?

20 Jul 2025 • With it being over a fortnight since Sultana and Corbyn announced that they would start a new party, what successes or failures could it be destined for?

Young Men Aren't Reformers

20 Jul 2025 • With 16 and 17-year-olds being set to be enfranchised by the next election, where do young people really stand?

&Elections: The Methodology

19 Jul 2025 • A summary of the methodology of &Elections' live Westminster projection.

Hi, I'm Nicholas. I started making what has eventually become &Elections in January 2024, when I started to collate MRP polling. In the 2024 election, my final call projection was one of the most accurate in the industry, with my model having forecast over 87% of constituencies correctly*. Since then, I've refined my model to better its accuracy, and have worked tirelessly on several new exciting features, including this site, which I independently created and published in June 2025. You can read more about my methodology here.

Now, being just one 19-year-old working to create some of the most detailed analysis and projections for UK elections anywhere on the internet takes up a lot of effort, especially wihout any external financial backing. Anything that you can do to help contribute to the site is deeply appreciated! Also, especially if you can't contribute, please could you consider following &Elections on social media sites to stay up-to-date with polling and projection updates!

*552 of the 631 constituencies projected (GB, excluding Chorley)

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